
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Upstart Holdings Inc. has demonstrated robust growth, with loan volumes increasing by 127.5% year-over-year to 428,056, driven primarily by strong performance among near-prime borrowers and new product offerings. Transaction volumes are projected to continue expanding, with an expected $13.0 billion in transaction volume by 2026, surpassing previous high levels experienced in 2021. Additionally, revenue growth forecasts of 63% year-over-year for 2025 and an expected improvement in EBITDA margins, reaching approximately 30% by 2026, highlight the company’s increasing operational efficiency and positive long-term profitability outlook.
Bears say
Upstart Holdings Inc experienced a decline in revenues for 3Q25, with guidance for 4Q25 falling short of forecasts due to conservative responses from its AI-powered risk models, which led to a significant drop in loan approval rates and conversion rates. While there was a notable increase in loan applications, the projections for contribution margins and revenue fell below market expectations, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability. Additionally, concerns about rising loss rates on underwritten loans may pressure investor demand and negatively impact the company's financial stability moving forward.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Upstart Holdings and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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