
Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Xponential Fitness Inc. demonstrated robust growth metrics, with total membership increasing by 15% year-over-year and average membership per store rising by 9% in the fourth quarter, highlighting strong member engagement and retention. The company’s revenue is bolstered by strong performance in key brands, particularly Club Pilates, which represented 56% of total system-wide sales and achieved average unit volumes exceeding $1 million, reflecting a nearly 9.5% year-over-year growth. Management's proactive strategies to enhance operational execution and stabilize sales, coupled with inventive revenue-driving initiatives, position the company favorably for compelling growth prospects beyond 2025.
Bears say
Xponential Fitness Inc. reported adjusted EBITDA of $120M-$125M, falling significantly short of expectations, driven by higher selling, general, and administrative expenses. The company's key brand, StretchLab, has experienced a decline in average unit volumes, dropping from $625K at the end of 2022 to $550K by 2024, contributing to a negative performance outlook for 2024. Additionally, the anticipated system sales of $1.935B to $1.955B have been tempered by lowered expectations regarding equipment installations and franchise territory fees, alongside a 6.8% year-over-year revenue decrease in Q4, resulting in a weaker overall outlook for 2025 and elevated concerns over unit growth and brand performance.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Xponential Fitness and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Xponential Fitness (XPOF) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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