
Waste Management (WM) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Waste Management (WM) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Waste Management is strategically positioning itself for growth by planning to return approximately 90% of its targeted $3.8 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for FY26 to shareholders, marking a significant 162% year-over-year increase. The integration of SRCL has enhanced customer insights and pricing strategies, which are anticipated to lead to organic growth in pricing and improved margins for the company's waste management services. Additionally, the CEO's optimistic outlook on economic indicators, such as improvement in special waste backlogs and construction and demolition (C&D) volumes, further supports a positive long-term financial trajectory for the company.
Bears say
Waste Management's stock outlook is negatively affected by the expectation of sales growth below 5% in the first half of FY26, coupled with a decline in recycled commodity prices that is projected to result in a $14 million headwind to adjusted EBITDA. The company anticipates that a significant portion of its expected 80bps margin expansion for 2026 will stem from non-operational sources, such as accretion reclassification and sustainability projects, rather than from core operational improvements. Additionally, rising operating costs and potential future changes in EPA regulations regarding Renewable Fuel Standards threaten to undermine the profitability of Waste Management's renewable natural gas projects, further contributing to a challenging financial environment.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Waste Management and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Waste Management (WM) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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