
Vistra Energy (VST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Vistra Energy (VST) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Vistra Corp. demonstrated robust growth in its retail electricity business, with retail volumes increasing by 9% year-over-year to 67 terawatt-hours, reflecting strong demand in the marketplace. Looking forward, the company's strategic focus on improving free cash flow conversion rates aims to reach at or above 60% of adjusted EBITDA by 2026, indicating a solid financial trajectory and operational efficiency. Furthermore, an improved hedge percentage of 94% for 2026 enhances the company’s revenue predictability and expands retail margins, positioning Vistra favorably to capitalize on favorable market conditions and capture additional economics beyond wholesale power price fluctuations.
Bears say
Vistra Corp.'s financial outlook appears negative due to anticipated declines in its leverage ratio, with management expecting a substantial decrease starting in 2026, which may indicate underlying operational vulnerabilities. The company's generation segment experienced a year-over-year EBITDA decline of 5% to $593 million, primarily caused by unplanned outages at key facilities, raising concerns about operational reliability. Additionally, the retail segment's EBITDA fell by $33 million to $756 million, driven by increased supply costs despite organic customer growth, suggesting challenges in maintaining profit margins amidst fluctuating operational dynamics.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Vistra Energy and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Vistra Energy (VST) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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