
Toll Brothers (TOL) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Toll Brothers (TOL) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Toll Brothers, as the leading luxury homebuilder in the U.S., is experiencing increased foot and web traffic at the start of fiscal Q4 2025, indicating positive consumer interest despite the typical seasonal slowdown. Management forecasts growth at the low end of the 7% to 10% range for fiscal year 2026, reflecting resilience in demand conditions across various markets. Notably, the company has achieved a significant conversion rate from deposit to order at approximately 80% in fiscal Q3 2025, compared to the historical average of 60%, highlighting its effective sales strategy and strong market positioning.
Bears say
Toll Brothers has revised its delivery projections downward to 11,200 units, indicating potential weaknesses in demand within the luxury homebuilding sector. Despite maintaining an average delivered price per home of approximately $950,000 to $960,000 and an adjusted home sales gross margin of 27.25%, stagnant growth metrics suggest that the company's financial performance may struggle to keep pace amid changing market dynamics. Additionally, flat lumber and materials prices over the past few years, coupled with the potential for less competitive supply at higher price points, may impact the firm's ability to attract buyers compared to more entry-level builders.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Toll Brothers and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Toll Brothers (TOL) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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