
Spotify (SPOT) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Spotify (SPOT) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Spotify Technology is navigating a robust growth trajectory, evidenced by a nearly 18% year-over-year increase in premium revenue and a 27.5% rise in ad-supported revenue, fueled by pricing power and advancements in advertising monetization tools. The firm forecasted a significant gross margin improvement of 390 basis points year-over-year to 31.5% for 1Q25, alongside an operating profit of €548 million, reflecting a commendable 13% margin, which emphasizes the company's operational efficiency. Additionally, Spotify's substantial subscriber base of nearly 700 million monthly active users, including over 250 million paying subscribers, underpins a strong foundation for sustained revenue generation and profit growth.
Bears say
Spotify Technology's stock outlook remains negative due to a noticeable deceleration in subscription Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) growth, which dropped to 7% from 11% year-over-year, indicating challenges in sustaining revenue from its premium segment amid tougher comparisons. The company's guidance for 1Q25 anticipates revenue growth of only 15% in constant currency, reflecting a 200 basis points slowdown from the previous quarter, alongside concerns regarding royalty payments and their impact on margins. Additionally, despite recent cost-cutting measures, including a 21% reduction in full-time employees, investor uncertainty persists regarding Spotify's ability to improve profitability amid subdued advertising growth and adverse operating profit variances.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Spotify and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Spotify (SPOT) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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