SITE Stock Forecast & Price Target

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc has demonstrated a stable financial trajectory, with projected EBITDA increasing by 1% to 3% for the upcoming periods, highlighting a positive trend in profitability. The company's EBITDA margin is anticipated to improve year-over-year, with estimates for 2025 reflecting growth, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. Additionally, the projected increase in organic daily sales growth for the fourth quarter further reinforces the company's momentum in gaining market share within the green industry.

The financial outlook for SiteOne Landscape Supply suggests a decline in growth expectations, with FY'26 estimates revised down to +0.5% from +1% due to a weaker residential outlook. The company has faced significant pricing pressures, particularly in grass seed, with year-over-year deflation projected at 10-20% for the second half of the fiscal year, contributing to a subdued pricing environment. Furthermore, the guidance for EBITDA has been lowered to a midpoint of $410 million, which falls short of some market expectations, indicating challenges in achieving robust profitability moving forward.