
SAM Stock Forecast & Price Target
SAM Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Boston Beer Company has demonstrated a positive outlook due to stabilizing declines in its Truly brand and improved gross margins, which have increased by 230 basis points year-over-year to 42.9%. The company has reported flat year-over-year depletions for the fourth quarter and year-to-date, indicating a recovery despite previous fears, coupled with expectations for significant growth from the Twisted Tea segment and emerging innovations like Sun Cruiser. Boston Beer plans to increase its advertising and promotion spend by $30-50 million in 2025, supporting its strategy to enhance brand presence while continuing to achieve gross margins of 45-47% and a projected GAAP EPS of $8.00-10.50.
Bears say
Boston Beer Company is facing a significant challenge as its EBITDA margin for the fourth quarter of 2024 was reported at -8.2%, which is substantially lower than estimates, indicating potential profitability issues. Sales growth for Twisted Tea has slowed from 12.0% to 4.4% in recent months, reflecting a broader trend of contraction in the company's key brands, particularly as innovation loses its momentum. Additionally, the downward revision of EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026, alongside an adjusted EPS of -$1.68 that fell short of both estimates and consensus, underscores the financial difficulties the company is experiencing.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Boston Beer Company and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
SAM Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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