
REPX Stock Forecast & Price Target
REPX Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Riley Exploration Permian is a niche Permian pure-play with a low breakeven and high margins, due to its focus on conventional San Andres/Yeso development, which yields lower decline rates than typical shale wells. The company's $45 price target is based on a 3.5x multiple of our 2027 EBITDA estimate, with a 10% expected production growth and 9.9% expected free cash flow. The company also boasts a diversified production base and experienced leadership, with a total NAV value of $52/share and a fixed dividend yielding ~5%. Risks to their Buy rating include pricing, legislative and geopolitical risks, and interest rate risk.
Bears say
Riley Exploration Permian is facing several challenges that are contributing to a negative outlook, including slower start-up of its midstream facilities in New Mexico, lower-than-expected commodity prices and the potential for regulatory changes in the state. Additionally, the company's leverage ratio is a concern, and there is risk of underperformance on newer assets. Despite management's guidance range for 2026 production falling within expectations, oil production is expected to make up a significant portion of their revenue. However, being a pure-play in the Permian with favorable well performance and additional potential from joint venture and midstream projects, may provide some support for the stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Riley Exploration Permian and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
REPX Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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