
Radian Group (RDN) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Radian Group (RDN) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Radian Group Inc. has shown a commitment to shareholder value through significant stock buybacks, with management anticipating repurchases in the second quarter to reach $200 million, an increase from previous forecasts, indicating confidence in the stock's undervaluation. The company's mortgage insurance segment is projected to deliver favorable financial performance, evidenced by expectations of generating double-digit returns on equity (ROEs) and year-over-year book value growth. Additionally, Radian Group's forward premium estimates are trending upwards due to slightly lower ceded premiums, suggesting a strengthening revenue outlook within the mortgage and real estate services sector.
Bears say
Radian Group Inc. is facing a negative outlook due to a slight decrease in PMIERs excess capital, which fell to $2.09 billion (53% cushion) from $2.15 billion (55% cushion), alongside a reduction in liquidity at the holding company to $834 million from $855 million. Forecasts indicate that reserve releases will trend downward from the elevated level of $218 million in 2024, projecting significant decreases in 2025 ($114 million), 2026 ($75 million), and 2027 ($50 million), potentially signaling challenges in credit conditions. The company also faces substantial risks from a potential weakening in mortgage credit that could lead to high losses or capital shortfalls, as well as a decline in mortgage purchase origination volumes, particularly in segments where mortgage insurance is more heavily utilized.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Radian Group and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Radian Group (RDN) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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