
NOG Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOG Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Northern Oil & Gas Inc is making a strategic shift in its capital expenditure plans, aiming to invest $250-300 million to drive growth in fiscal year 2026, which indicates a commitment to expanding operations despite a minor dip in front month WTI prices. The company anticipates a reinvestment rate of 79% in FY26, which is significantly higher than the peer medians of less than 60%, showcasing an aggressive growth strategy. Additionally, a projected leverage ratio of 1.6x at annualized 4Q26 EBITDA further demonstrates a strong operational position relative to peers, which typically reflect a leverage of around 0.9x.
Bears say
The outlook for Northern Oil & Gas reflects a significant decline in production estimates, with projected oil output decreasing to 73.9 mbbls/d and total production to 134.3 mboe/d for FY26, compared to previous expectations. Despite a projected EV/FCF yield of 11.9% in FY25 and 9.2% in FY26, these figures fall short of the relevant SMID peer group averages of 13.3% and 15.9%, indicating relative underperformance. Additionally, the company anticipates a sequential decline in production for Q3 2025, with forecasts indicating stagnation at similar levels to Q2 2025 in Q4 2025, further exacerbating concerns regarding future growth.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Northern Oil and Gas and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
NOG Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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