
NOG Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOG Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Northern Oil & Gas Inc is repositioning its capital expenditure strategy for FY26, planning to allocate $250-300 million to foster growth, indicating a commitment to enhancing operational capabilities despite challenging market conditions. The projected 79% reinvestment rate for FY26, coupled with a leverage ratio of 1.6x at annualized 4Q26 EBITDA, surpasses peer medians of less than 60% and 0.9x, respectively, highlighting the company's robust financial strategy. This strategic shift, alongside the relatively minor decline in front month WTI prices of only 6% year-to-date, suggests a resilient operational framework poised for potential growth in a fluctuating market.
Bears say
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is facing a diminishing production outlook, with projections for FY26 estimating oil production at 73.9 mbbls/d and total production at 134.3 mboe/d, both reflecting sharp downward revisions since early July. The company's expected equity value based on fiscal year cash flows shows yields of 11.9% for FY25 and 9.2% for FY26, which are lower compared to the SMID peer group yields of 13.3% and 15.9%, suggesting relative underperformance. Additionally, the company anticipates a sequential decline in production in Q3 2025, and consistent production levels in Q4 2025, reinforcing concerns about its operational stability moving forward.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Northern Oil and Gas and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
NOG Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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