
National CineMedia (NCMI) Stock Forecast & Price Target
National CineMedia (NCMI) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
National CineMedia Inc. is poised for growth as the cinema advertising industry is anticipated to recover significantly in 2025 and 2026, driven by a robust film slate expected to enhance advertising impressions and revenue. The North American box office is projected to rise at least 7% in 2025, fueled by strong double-digit growth in the latter half of that year, which will likely benefit National CineMedia through increased advertiser bookings. Furthermore, the company has improved its targeting and ad servicing capabilities, leading to a competitive edge in capturing market share, particularly as it continues to attract premium advertisers and expand its digital advertising solutions.
Bears say
National CineMedia Inc. experienced a decline in revenue of 5.1% year-over-year in Q4 2024, despite exceeding guidance for five consecutive quarters, primarily attributed to an unfavorable film slate and the overperformance of prior ticket sales, particularly related to "Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour." Additionally, the company's Adjusted Operating Income Before Depreciation and Amortization (AOIBDA) decreased from $40 million in Q4 2023 to $35 million, reflecting short-term headwinds, such as softer box office content, weak seasonal ad demand, and reductions in spending from government and tariff-impacted sectors. The outlook for Q1 2025 remains cautious due to anticipated declines in theater attendance and advertising impressions, which together pose significant risks to revenue and overall financial stability.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of National CineMedia and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
National CineMedia (NCMI) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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