
MSBI Stock Forecast & Price Target
MSBI Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Midland States Bancorp Inc. has demonstrated a resilient revenue growth of 1% quarter-over-quarter, with total loans increasing at an annualized rate of 8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting effective market strategies and talent acquisition. The company anticipates a slight improvement in net interest margin (NIM) to 3.27% by the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by higher yielding loan production, reduced funding costs, and upcoming loan repricings. Additionally, management forecasts an improvement in the efficiency ratio to 65% by the fourth quarter of 2025, supported by strong internal capital generation and a targeted CET1 ratio increase to between 9.25% and 9.50%, further solidifying a positive financial outlook.
Bears say
Midland States Bancorp has experienced a decline in both average loan balances, which fell by 2% quarter-over-quarter, and borrowings, which decreased by 17%, indicating potential challenges in loan demand and funding stability. The company reported a notable drop in pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) of 22% quarter-over-quarter, significantly missing expectations due to increased operating expenses that overshadowed gains from net interest income and core fee income. Furthermore, the tangible book value (TBV) decreased by 16%, coupled with a reduction in tangible common equity (TCE) by 89 basis points, reflecting deteriorating financial health and elevated non-performing assets (NPAs), thus contributing to a negative outlook on the stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Midland States Bancorp and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
MSBI Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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