
MSBI Stock Forecast & Price Target
MSBI Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Midland States Bancorp is positioned for a positive outlook primarily due to anticipated improvements in credit costs and a boost in franchise value from increased visibility into credit quality. The company's net interest margin (NIM) has seen a notable expansion to 3.79%, indicating enhanced profitability in its banking operations, while a recent 3% increase in the quarterly dividend reflects a strong commitment to shareholder returns. Furthermore, management's focus on reducing wholesale funding combined with an expected increase in the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio underscores the company's robust capital management strategy.
Bears say
Midland States Bancorp has experienced a notable decline in loans held for investment (HFI), which fell by 3% quarter-over-quarter in the third quarter, primarily due to intentional run-offs in equipment financing and higher payoffs in commercial real estate and commercial and industrial loans. Additionally, the company saw a significant 6% decrease in total deposits, including a dramatic reduction of 59% in brokered deposits, which raises concerns about the stability of its funding base. While non-performing loans (NPLs) have improved, the overall outlook remains negative, as projected future loan growth is expected to decline by 1%-3% sequentially each quarter, compounded by a declining loans-to-deposit (L/D) ratio anticipated to reach 74% by the end of 2026.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Midland States Bancorp and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
MSBI Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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