
Methanex (MEOH) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Methanex (MEOH) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Methanex Corp demonstrated a significant increase in production, with Geismar producing 839,000 metric tons in Q4/24, up from 605,000 metric tons in Q3/24, reflecting the successful ramp-up of the Geismar 3 plant. The company is poised for higher average sales prices (ASP), projected to reach between $395 to $400 per metric ton in Q1, which, coupled with favorable operational adjustments and a positive regional sales mix post-OCI, supports a robust financial outlook. Additionally, Methanex's strong sensitivity to methanol price fluctuations indicates that for every $50 per metric ton change, pro-forma run-rate Adjusted EBITDA could shift by approximately $450 million, further emphasizing the potential for substantial earnings growth.
Bears say
Methanex Corp's outlook is negatively affected by a reduced production forecast for 2025, anticipated at approximately 7.5 million equity MT, which is lower than previous estimates due to an unexpected turnaround schedule. Additionally, the company has reported a significant 15% year-over-year decline in volume, despite increased production, alongside a modest decrease in methanol prices as per CMA's 2026 monthly forecast. Furthermore, the potential economic slowdown, exacerbated by tariffs, could further dampen global demand for methanol, impacting revenue and earnings projections.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Methanex and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Methanex (MEOH) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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