Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Mondelez International has demonstrated resilience with organic sales growth of 3.4% and an 8% increase in overall pricing in the latest quarter, indicating effective pricing power despite softer volume/mix performance. The firm holds a significant share in its categories, capitalizing on growth rates that exceed 4% year-to-date and maintaining or gaining market share in 70% of its categories. Additionally, estimates of high single-digit EPS growth in 2026, supported by declining cocoa costs and an anticipated recovery in volume/mix, position Mondelez favorably for sustained revenue growth, particularly from its robust presence in emerging markets.

Mondelez International’s outlook has been negatively impacted by a downward revision in its 2025 guidance, now anticipating organic sales growth of over 4% compared to the previous estimate of approximately 5%, alongside a projected 15% decline in EPS versus an earlier forecast of 10%. The company reported significant decreases in gross profit and operating profit, with declines of 20.5% and 32.6% respectively, leading to a contraction in margins attributed to rising cocoa costs and increasing consumer pressure in key markets, particularly in North America and Europe. Additionally, the revisions to FY25 and FY26 EPS estimates reflect concerns over eroding consumer confidence and financial pressures that are expected to persist into the next fiscal year.