
GEO Group (GEO) Stock Forecast & Price Target
GEO Group (GEO) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
The GEO Group Inc. has experienced a notable increase in detentions, rising by approximately 5,000 inmates sequentially to reach 56,400, indicating strengthened demand for its services. Revised projections reflect a positive outlook for managed-only revenues, increasing FY25 and FY26 estimates to $630 million and $659 million, respectively, largely attributed to a contract with the U.S. Marshals Service. Additionally, the company's strategic positioning to activate approximately 6,000 idle beds could generate over $300 million in annualized revenue, with potential non-residential unit growth contributing significantly to an expected increase of around $80 million, or 14%, in FY26 adjusted EBITDA.
Bears say
The GEO Group Inc faces significant challenges related to funding and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) risks, which could impair its ability to secure necessary capital due to growing concerns among investors about reputation and social justice issues. Additionally, the company has lowered its fiscal year 2025 adjusted earnings per share and revenue estimates, reflecting a cautious outlook due to the potential loss of contracts and slower-than-expected growth, particularly in its Integrated Secure Alternatives Program. Furthermore, fluctuations in interest rates pose leverage risks, which may negatively impact returns to common shareholders and contribute to further instability in the company's valuation and overall financial health.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of GEO Group and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
GEO Group (GEO) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
Start investing in GEO Group (GEO)
Order type
Buy in
Order amount
Est. shares
0 shares