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GEO Group (GEO) Stock Forecast & Price Target

GEO Group (GEO) Analyst Ratings

Based on 3 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 33%
Buy 67%
Hold 0%
Sell 0%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

The GEO Group Inc. has experienced a notable increase in detentions, rising approximately 5,000 inmates sequentially to reach 56,400, indicating a robust demand for its secure services. The company has revised its Managed-Only revenue projections for FY25 and FY26 upward to $630 million and $659 million respectively, reflecting the positive impact of the USMS contract. Additionally, a forecasted 60% growth in non-residential units could potentially enhance FY26 AEBITDA by around $80 million, or 14%, further supporting a favorable financial outlook for the company.

Bears say

The GEO Group Inc has revised its FY25 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimate down to $0.82 from $0.84 and has decreased its revenue forecast to $2.50 billion from $2.52 billion, primarily due to the Lawton facility disposition. Additionally, the company's reliance on proceeds from this disposition, along with an expectation of $150 to $175 million for debt reduction, raises concerns about its financial stability, despite projections suggesting a potential net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio below 3x. Furthermore, there are increasing risks from bank regulators regarding lending to the sector due to "reputation risk" and significant political pressures that may hinder the company’s ability to secure Federal contracts and necessary funding.

GEO Group (GEO) has been analyzed by 3 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 33% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 67% recommend Buy, 0% suggest Holding, 0% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of GEO Group and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About GEO Group (GEO) Forecast

Analysts have given GEO Group (GEO) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 3 analysts, GEO Group (GEO) has a Buy consensus rating as of Nov 5, 2025. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $39.33, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $39.33, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

GEO Group (GEO)


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