
Freshpet (FRPT) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Freshpet (FRPT) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Freshpet has demonstrated a significant improvement in its financial metrics, with an adjusted gross margin increase of 700 basis points to 48.1% in 4Q24, aligning with its long-term target for 2027. The company's household penetration rose by 15.5% year-over-year, indicating continued consumer interest in its premium fresh pet food offerings. Additionally, Freshpet's adjusted EBITDA margin for 4Q24 improved by 550 basis points to 20.1%, suggesting effective cost management alongside revenue growth propelled by increased production capacity and market share within the fresh/frozen category.
Bears say
Freshpet's stock faces a negative outlook due to a significant decline in the dog food category, with sales volumes decreasing in five of eight weekly periods in 2025. Additionally, the company's compound annual growth rates (CAGRs) have been decelerating, indicating a slowdown in sales momentum, while recent data suggests a broad slowdown across the pet food category and other consumer packaged goods. These factors, combined with a lower average buying rate and a reduced market share in pet specialty, further support concerns regarding Freshpet's future growth potential.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Freshpet and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Freshpet (FRPT) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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