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Fastenal (FAST) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Fastenal (FAST) Analyst Ratings

Based on 8 analyst ratings
Hold
Strong Buy 25%
Buy 13%
Hold 38%
Sell 25%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Fastenal is favored because its Onsite, vending, and FMI solutions create a sticky, outsourced supply-chain model that deepens customer integration, expands contract wins, and supports durable market-share gains of roughly +560bp over the past decade. June sales growth of +15.0% y/y outpaced expectations, and the contract count rose +7.2% y/y, while the company’s roughly 3,369 in-market locations exiting 2025 and captive trucking fleet strengthen service levels and gross margin resilience. Although EBIT margin was 21.0% and price/cost remained a headwind, its ability to keep expanding in a highly fragmented ~$140B TAM suggests continued double-digit growth and long-term earnings compounding.

Bears say

Fastenal is facing a deteriorating margin profile despite solid June ADS growth of +15.0% y/y and ongoing share gains, because pricing has softened to +2.9% y/y while cost pass-through remains incomplete at -40bp in the quarter. Gross margin fell to 44.6% and EBIT margin held flat at 21.0% as unfavorable customer mix, national account growth, sharply higher fuel costs, and rising commission and incentive compensation offset strong volume leverage and SG&A control. The outlook is pressured further because near-term gross margin headwinds and anticipated 2Q26 SG&A growth of +9.5% y/y suggest that current consensus may be underestimating earnings risk if North American industrial demand softens or fuel costs stay elevated.

Fastenal (FAST) has been analyzed by 8 analysts, with a consensus rating of Hold. 25% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 13% recommend Buy, 38% suggest Holding, 25% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Fastenal and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Fastenal (FAST) Forecast

Analysts have given Fastenal (FAST) a Hold based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 8 analysts, Fastenal (FAST) has a Hold consensus rating as of Oct 9, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $48.75, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $48.75, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Fastenal (FAST)


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