
TopBuild (BLD) Stock Forecast & Price Target
TopBuild (BLD) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
TopBuild Corp has raised its full-year sales and EBITDA outlook, driven significantly by contributions from recent acquisitions, notably SPI, which is expected to enhance the company’s financial performance moving forward. The company is projecting an impressive 8%-10% sales compound annual growth rate (CAGR) and a potential growth in earnings per share (EPS) to more than double by 2030, reflecting strong long-term growth prospects. Moreover, positive commentary regarding healthy bidding activity and the expected growth of acquisitions indicates robust future EBITDA improvements, with 2025 and 2026 forecasts being upgraded to $1.033 billion and $1.169 billion, respectively.
Bears say
The financial outlook for TopBuild Corp presents several challenges, with the Installation Services segment experiencing only a slight year-over-year EBITDA margin improvement of +20 basis points, while the Specialty Distribution segment faced a significant decline of 150 basis points due to absorbed pricing and cost pressures. The company's forecast indicates a low double-digit decline in same-branch residential sales, coupled with stagnant commercial and industrial sales, raising concerns about overall revenue growth despite expected contributions from acquisitions. Additionally, the firm's proforma leverage stands at approximately 2.4x, highlighting the impact of its debt levels amidst cyclical end-market demand fluctuations, which, combined with competitive pressures and pricing volatility, contribute to a negative outlook on the stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of TopBuild and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
TopBuild (BLD) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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