
BKD Stock Forecast & Price Target
BKD Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Brookdale Senior Living Inc is experiencing significant improvement in occupancy rates, having reported the strongest fourth-quarter move-in volume since 2016, which indicates a positive trend for continued occupancy growth into 2025. Management anticipates that strong January occupancy figures and reassured move-in volumes will lead to a notable acceleration in occupancy growth, expected to exceed the current consensus estimates for fiscal year 2025. Additionally, the expiration of a major lease and recent accretive transactions have enhanced cash flow visibility, positioning Brookdale to improve its liquidity and balance sheet in alignment with strong demand driven by favorable demographic trends.
Bears say
Brookdale Senior Living has experienced occupancy challenges, with a notable decline of 80 basis points during the 2017-2018 flu season, indicating vulnerability to external health-related factors. Despite a reported 12% increase in annualized operating income as of 3Q24 compared to pre-pandemic levels, revenue from rents remains 16% below pre-restructured 2019 figures, highlighting ongoing financial strain. Furthermore, lower than expected occupancy due to reduced effectiveness from third-party referral channels and elevated labor costs further exacerbates the company's negative outlook, emphasizing potential stagnation in occupancy growth and pressure on margins.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Brookdale Senior Living and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
BKD Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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