BIRK Stock Forecast & Price Target

Birkenstock Holding is projected to achieve fourth-quarter sales of at least €520 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of over 14% on a reported basis and 18% at constant currency. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company expects revenues to reach a minimum of €2.09 billion, representing a growth of 15.9% or more on a reported basis and 17.5% at constant currency, surpassing earlier guidance. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to rise to €665 million, indicating a solid upward trajectory in the company's financial performance.

Birkenstock Holding faces several macroeconomic risks that could negatively impact its financial performance, including volatility in commodity costs and currency fluctuations. Additionally, rising interest rates and weakening consumer confidence may lead to decreased consumer spending, particularly in its primary markets of the Americas and Europe, which together account for 88% of sales. The company's reliance on a limited range of iconic models for a significant portion of revenue further heightens vulnerability to market shifts and economic downturns.