
ASTL Stock Forecast & Price Target
ASTL Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Algoma Steel Group Inc. has committed approximately 86% of its total expected capital expenditures of CAD 825-875 million towards its significant transition from basic oxygen furnace (BoF) steelmaking to electric arc furnace (EAF) production, which is projected to enhance long-term profitability. The transformation is expected to lead to better resilience against market volatility, with the potential to recover CAD 25 million from insurance and a projected CAD 100 million in working capital release in fiscal year 2025. Moreover, as Algoma progresses towards its sustainability goals and emissions reduction targets, its strategic transformation could attract favorable valuations and support a re-rating of its financial performance amidst a challenging steel industry environment.
Bears say
The financial outlook for Algoma Steel Group Inc. is marked by significant challenges, as the company faces a tough pricing environment and ongoing demand softness, which are anticipated to result in FY2Q'25 earnings reflecting a trough. Estimates for FY4Q'24 have been revised downward due to a production stoppage at the blast furnace, leading to a reduction in shipment projections from 560kt to 475kt and a decrease in EBITDA expectations from C$73 million to C$23 million. Additionally, elevated capital expenditures and the limited potential for share repurchases further exacerbate concerns regarding the company’s long-term profitability and valuation multiples.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Algoma Steel Group and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
ASTL Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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